For Some Autocrats, Even Rigged Elections Can Be Too Much of a Threat
In many authoritarian regimes, elections are merely a facade of democracy, used by autocrats to legitimize their grip on power. These regimes often go to great lengths to manipulate election results, ensuring that the ruling party or leader remains in control. However, for some autocrats, even rigged elections can be seen as too much of a threat to their rule.
In recent years, we have seen instances where autocrats have chosen to cancel or postpone elections, rather than risk losing power. One example is in Belarus, where President Alexander Lukashenko, often referred to as “Europe’s last dictator,” postponed the presidential election in 2020 amid widespread protests and accusations of electoral fraud. Lukashenko’s decision to cling to power at all costs, even if it means disregarding the will of the people, highlights the lengths to which some autocrats will go to maintain control.
Similarly, in Russia, President Vladimir Putin has been accused of rigging elections to ensure his continued rule. However, Putin’s grip on power is so strong that he has little to fear from electoral challenges. In fact, Putin’s government has been known to crack down on opposition figures and dissenting voices, making it nearly impossible for any real challenge to his authority to emerge.
In other cases, autocrats may still feel threatened by the mere act of holding elections, even if they are able to manipulate the results. This is because elections can serve as a rallying point for opposition groups, providing them with a platform to voice their grievances and mobilize support against the ruling regime. For autocrats who are already facing mounting pressure from internal or external forces, the prospect of a contentious election can be seen as too risky.
Ultimately, the decision to cancel or postpone elections in autocratic regimes is a calculated move by leaders who are willing to do whatever it takes to hold onto power. By eliminating the possibility of a legitimate challenge to their authority, these autocrats are able to maintain their grip on power without having to resort to overt repression or violence. However, this strategy can also backfire, as it can further alienate the population and fuel discontent and opposition.
In the end, while rigged elections may be a common tactic used by autocrats to maintain power, for some rulers, even the semblance of electoral competition can be seen as too great a threat. As we continue to see challenges to authoritarian rule around the world, it is clear that the fight for democracy and human rights is far from over.